News/Views

This page of the site contains the latest 10 articles to appear on bythom, followed by links to the archives.

Affinity Hits the iPad

bythom-affinity-ipad

The free Affinity app, which includes near clones of Illustrator, Photoshop, and inDesign, has made it to iPadOS. The new app supports Apple Pencil Pro, and the only features you’d need to pay for are those that use AI, similar to the way the desktop version of Affinity works. Note that there are a few desktop features missing from the iPad version, but nothing of significance to photographers other than perhaps the Astrophotography Studio.

Get Affinity for iPad on the App Store. 

Another Thom Early Warning

Just over a year ago I began warning about card and storage prices. I detected the early pattern that was developing where the AI players were beginning to gobble up any and every bit (pardon the pun) they could. I rewarned early in 2026 when that became clearer and easier to measure in terms of price increase. We eventually hit the 100%+ inflation rate with no end in site.

Today I’m going to say that at least for cards, the end of the continuous inflation cycle in pricing may be mostly over. The smart players have been adjusting how and from where they’re obtaining their parts in order to better control their prices. I’m starting to see CFe cards plateau in pricing. 

However, my new warning is a little different. What I’m hearing in the distribution chain for other photography products is not encouraging. I’m aware of at least three major players in other photography accessories that are having cash flow issues at the moment, and I’ve become aware of what appears to be upcoming closeouts on older accessories that have bottomed out in sales volume. My prediction is this: other than perhaps B&H—which acts a bit like an inventory buffer due to their large purchasing volume and their long-term stock warehousing—by the time next year rolls around, there will be products in the support, lighting, remote, and other accessory categories that start going away. Permanently. We may lose a company or two in the first quarter of next year, too. 

Some of this is being caused by products just not moving and updating with the times. Some is being caused by Chinese copying and price undercutting. Some is caused by companies that were weakened by the pandemic and never fully recovered. 

But a big part of what I’m going to call my predicted Accessagedon triggers from the camera companies themselves. When the constant parade of new and upgraded products ended in 2026, new camera introductions became few and far between, and the main (mirrorless) volume went into a small decline, the number of people walking into camera dealers went down. It’s at those local dealers that a lot of the photographic accessories get sold, but if you don’t have as many people coming in the front door, almost by definition your sales of those items will go down. 

That isn’t quite as evident online, but consider this: if fewer people are rushing to Amazon to order the latest/greatest camera, then Amazon also isn’t serving up accessories to sell with that camera. 

You see one big combination of all this in the flash business. Makers not updating products for the times. Chinese undercut. Weak companies coming out of the pandemic. Low new camera sales, particular to new customers, lowering the add-on sale possibility. But the same thing applies to tripods, camera bags, and more. 

This has a further downstream issue, as photography Web sites that rely upon advertising are finding that their ad prices are falling and the number of companies placing ads is down. The Chinese aren’t doing ads for the most part, they’re doing affiliate links, so rewarding Web sites only on actual purchases. 

byThom is New Again

As part of my ongoing site updating, I’m happy to report that bythom.com is now operating from my new software—which I’ve called NewBox—and that has produced a wide variety of changes, even though things might look pretty much the same. 

I was able to complete this work faster than I originally planned by just concentrating on it rather than a couple of other projects. This just leaves zsystemuser.com to get over to new software and I’m ready for another few years of typing frenzy. I’m still targeting Christmas, but it could be sooner.

Here are just some of the things that changed on bythom.com when I pressed publish today:

  • The front page now auto-reports all News/Views type articles for each of my sites. You’ll see individual cards for filmbodies.com, dslrbodies.com, and zsystemuser.com initially, but they’ll be joined by others in the future (tease, tease). While adding that function, I also spruced up the page a bit.
  • A site-wide search function has been added (the magnifying glass at the right side of the menus at the top of the site). I’ve only archived news that actually appeared on this site, however. If you’re looking for news from mid-2012 to 2020, you won’t find it on bythom.com, as during that period I only used teasers on the news page to point to the actual news on sansmirror.com or dslrbodies.com. That said, I’ve recovered all news that appeared on bythom.com going back to 2003. 
  • Dates now appear at the top of a page, a common request I’ve received. I’ve made a couple of other small user-requested changes, as well, including fixing the infinitely scrolling menus on smartphones and tablets. 
  • I’m using some new site-wide styling for headings, block quotes, and tabs, plus there’s a new table function I’ll be using in future articles. I can change site colors, fonts, and other things on the fly now, with all font information being handled directly by me (no downloading of fonts from Google, who will sneakily track you when that happens). 
  • Image use has been revisited, and I’ve pruned away some of extra image sizes that were clogging up the media folder. The site uses a built-in image resizing function, but this is now done from my engine, and should result in things looking a little better. I’m now standardizing on image sizes that should be fine for all Retina displays, as well. 
  • The site—at least after the first push of the new files—will publish faster and be more stable during updates. You may have encountered times when an image didn’t appear but its filename did. That was just the old software cranking through everything and rewriting a lot of files. Now the site should just shimmy new stuff into place as I create it while not disrupting the rest. The site is still completely static (no PHP or database driving it) except for the Contact Form, and on each publish every file gets looked at to see if it needs replacing. If someone somehow sticks a stray file onto the site, NewBox should detect this and delete it.
  • Contact is now via a form on the Contact page. Behind this change is a bigger system that will allow me to do direct surveys, as well. Emails to me now go to a different address as I’m slowly phasing out the msn email address.
  • Another new feature has to do with PDFs. I used to publish PDF files on my server and you’d be taken out of bythom and put in your Web browser with the PDF open. Now, a reduced-size version of the PDF is embedded in the page referencing it where you can directly view it. This function also offers a direct download button should you want the full size PDF.
  • As you’re probably aware, I have a site policy to no longer use shot, shoot, shooting, and other such words (except when I’m referring to a camera function with such a name). I used AI via my LLM to look at every page on the site and point out places where I needed to change shot to image, shoot to photograph, shooting to photographing, and so on. 
  • All cruft that was left behind (e.g. sidebars that didn’t appear) has been removed. Broken links were fixed where found. Title bars have been updated. SEO has been redone. The site should be a bit faster at most things, as well.
  • Starting probably with the next update, I’ll also start publishing a “new page” alert on my XTwitter account (@bythom). If you follow @bythom you’ll be notified of new articles—not just news—on dslrbodies.com and bythom.com (and eventually zsystemuser.com). 
  • In the latter stages of putting the site out, I found two “privacy leaks” that I previously didn’t know about (companies are notoriously sneaky about trying to find information about you). One had to do with how the Jquery script was getting updated. Microsoft would occasionally see visitors on Jquery updates. This has been eradicated. The other leak had to do with videos served by Vimeo, where their player would leak information before you clicked on a video to play. Now, nothing leaks unless you actually play a video; at that point, you’re seeing content served by Vimeo’s site and I can’t control their privacy terms, so I’ve added this to my Privacy Policy page with a pointer to their’s, and will be looking at another way of serving videos in the future. Meanwhile, I also found several old affiliate links in the restored news, and I’ve eliminated these, as well, as if you stumbled on them you’d be tracked.
  • The Gear section is completely redone, with sections for Compact cameras, Accessories, and Apple products. You’ll even find some new material, including a review of the Ricoh GR IV and an article on camera bags. Reviews now incorporate a new Recommendation/Ratings widget at the bottom, which has been updated to my current thinking for each of the compact cameras reviewed. As part of the rework, I’ve also completely updated my Recommended Mac Hardware article to include the recent onslaught of new M5 and M6 Macs. (Short answer for most of you: a MacBook Air, iMac, or Mac mini is more than enough with the right RAM/SSD selection.)
  • The Learn section has been refocused, with reorganization of the articles and a complete re-edit or re-write of every remaining article. Some articles that have gone by the wayside are only temporarily gone as I continue to rework on them to bring them up to date. Meanwhile, a few, such as the article on cataracts, have gotten a full-fledged rework and updating. A few things that were previously on bythom will pop up expanded on byThom MAX. I also added an acronym explanation page, that defines all acronyms that have been used on this site!
  • The Travel section is also completely reworked, again with a bit of reorganization but mostly re-edit and re-write throughout. The Galapagos mini-section has been completely rewritten and fact checked to remain current.
  • There’s more coming. You’ll see that as I continue to test and roll out all the things that NewBox has been designed to do, but isn’t doing yet.
As you can tell, I’ve been busy, both in working on content for this site as well as dealing with the Internet plumbing that lets you see it. The result should be better in every respect, and now that I completely control the app that generates the site, I can be more responsive to changes or user requests in the future. 

At the moment, dslrbodies, sansmirror, and bythom all use my new software and have been refreshed. Filmbodies was previously updated to (different) new software, as well. Only zsystemuser remains to be tackled.

Enjoy.

Will Fujifilm Wear Out the X Look?

Here we go again. 

Today Fujifilm introduced the instax MiniEVO 2, yet another in their long line of instant cameras. Like the instax Pal 2 that was introduced earlier this fall, we again get the panda-style legacy look popularized by the X100 models and now popping up nearly everywhere in Fujifilm’s lineups.

First off, good on Fujifilm for establishing clear branding. Nikon has pretty much gone for a DSLR branding (other than the Zfc, Zf, ZR), and Sony seems to have mostly locked in an Alpha look. But no one is making instantly identifiable as Brand X cameras lately than Fujifilm. 

But more importantly, Fujifilm is now playing riffs off digital with their instant film cameras. The MiniEVO 2 has a big 4.5” touchscreen on the back that is used for composition and settings. The screen is larger than the 2x3” instant prints the camera takes! But coupled with a couple of clever controls, instant cameras now have very digital like customizations in real time. Oh, and yes you can save the 13mp digital images driving the built-in printer, including an up-to-five-second video of what happened prior to pressing the shutter release. 

Actually, you’ll find two shutter releases on the MiniEVO 2, one in the traditional place up top, the other near the top front of the camera for when you’ve oriented the camera in portrait mode.

Sigma Reboots and Uppercases the fp

Sigma today introduced the FP2, a complete redo of their earlier camera-in-a-small-box. 

The box is similar, losing just a bit of depth and only .2 ounces (6g) heavier. The fp name of the earlier model is now an uppercase FP. Out back, the Rear LCD now tilts.

But it’s inside where the real changes lie. The FP2 uses the 24mp partially-stacked image sensor pioneered by the Nikon Z6III (which Panasonic also now uses). This opens up 6K open gate at up to 60P, as well as Apple ProRes RAW recording. Curiously, Sigma is using Leica’s L-Log. 70GB of internal storage is augmented by a UHS-II SD slot, and audio can now be 32-bit float with an optional accessory. One big change is that the FP2 uses phase detect autofocus, including subject tracking. This may be the biggest real change for those wanting a small L-mount box camera, as autofocus was the thing that really held the original fp back as far as I was concerned.

A new, larger capacity battery plus new viewfinder and other accessories round out the changes. Effectively, most everything changed (for the good) when you start doing spec-by-spec comparisons. At US$2199, the basic box lives in the Nikon ZR space, though smaller and L-mount. 

Note one thing about the FP2: it does not have sensor stabilization. The implication is that this is a box you mount on a gimbal, which starts to make the small box idea, particularly when accompanied by the accessories, not so small.

After all the pushback on the Nikon Z5IIC used as a compact camera I got, it’s ironic that my initial impression of the smaller Sigma FP2 is that it isn’t as good a choice for a full frame walk-around compact, despite having a better Rear LCD. The reason? By the time you mount a lens on it, it becomes the usual lens-sticking-out problem for jacket-pocketing. Plus you have no hand grip nor any image stabilization. 

A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Web Page...

I know you’re all waiting for my site refreshes and the launch of byThom MAX. 

MAX is coming, but a funny thing happened along the way.

As you probably know, my sites have thousands of pages on them, many (particularly news) dating back 15 or more years. Coupled with my wanting to refresh most of my content with editing, extension, and better wording, I took on a massive job. Really massive. Including rebuilding the sites from scratch. 

Turns out I didn’t have to do that last bit. 

I got so frustrated with a continuing problem using my old commercial site software that I asked my AI a question recently. My site structure, style, and content live in a proprietary file type. I asked my AI if it could understand that file. Turns out that everything had been so well created that it did. Everything from structure to design to my words and images. During our exploration together, the AI discovered some bugs in my current software, but didn’t find any deficiencies or masking in the data structures. So first task: suck up all that information and put it in a file I own and manage. Second task, build an app that uses that file. 

Today you can see (or actually, not see) the result. I say “not see” because I’m keeping the basic site look and structures intact. But what’s managing that is completely new.

The mothballed sansmirror.com site has now been completely republished using my own software. It looks pretty much the same as it used to. Except if you look closely. When you do you’ll notice some things. Things people have been asking me about for years and I never got around to doing. For instance, the last thing on the top menu bar is a search icon. Click that and you’ll be presented a search box that does a search of the entire site and lists out all the articles with your search request in it, showing an excerpt around the found text. This search doesn’t actually touch the usual Web search services. Instead it uses the data file for the site. Your searches aren't tracked by anyone.

Here’s another thing people have been asking me for (I used to do it, but then the commercial software I was using broke due to a macOS update and the developer never fixed it): every time I post any new article on sites handled by my new application, it generates a short summary and posts that to my XTwitter account (@bythom). This goes beyond the RSS notifications that have been in the News/Views section for years. While I’m not a fan of XTwitter, it’s currently the best way to broadcast a short update note widely.

Try out how all the new stuff works. Go to sansmirror.com, click the search icon in the menu bar, and type Nikon Z8. You’ll get more than fifty hits on that. All result in live links you can further investigate. 

The above is now true of dslrbodies.com, too, as I’ve updated it using the same application I wrote. I’ve applied the same technique and updates to it. So take a visit on dslrbodies, do a search, browse around, and enjoy the new styles in places. There’s even a new article about what’s still available in the News/Views section.

But that’s not all. You’ve all been asking for the date of the article creation or modification at the top of the page, not the bottom. Yep, that’s been added to sansmirror and dslrbodies, too. Indeed, there are a ton of things in my new application that I’ve built that I’m not going to waste my time on adding to the sansmirror site because you will really want those on dslrbodies.com, zsystemuser.com, and bythom.com. Don’t worry, you’ll be getting these new things soon. The log-jam is about to break. I’m doing this site by site. I still have a little more testing to do on sansmirror and dslrbodies to make sure everything is being done correctly, but once I’ve performed that testing then I’ll work on updating bythom.com, and then add some really snazzy updates for zsystemuser.com. No data will be harmed in the process.

I’ve gone a bit insane with this change of direction. The tool I used for over 15 years has been completely re-written, by me, from scratch, in a language that didn’t exist when that original tool was built. With my AI’s help, my new tool also understands all the structure, style, and content I’ve ever created, and moreover, I can use a chat engine directly to do a lot of the work (“add a light blue bar behind all Heading 2 elements using the site’s primary color so that headings stand out from the text better” via MCP). Yep, that works. You can see it in action on sansmirror and dslrbodies already (along with new site-wide styles for block quotes and other site elements). 

So between now and the end of the year, the existing sites will pretty much look the same and have the same content, only they’ll all be controlled from a different app, a lot of content will have been refreshed and re-imagined, and I’ll probably be a lot less frustrated and publishing more often. Plus you’ll find lots of interesting surprises as you start moving through my sites in the future. Search, more consistent styling, better organization, rating widgets, and more.

Wait, what, better organization? Yes, and this starts with mobile. With the previous site software on phones the menus became a scrolling monster. With my new app in charge, that changes to a simpler two-level pop-up when you tap the hamburger menu icon. In essence, I’ve been able to take a once popular commercial product, rewrite it, add all the features that were never done by the original creator, fixed all the known bugs (!), all while keeping the actual structure, content, and CSS styling intact. 

What I’ve done is not a restoration. It’s a complete restomod. The good things are all still there. The infrastructure is better, and there’s new goodies everywhere I’m looking forward to exploit. I’m very happy with how this is turning out. One benefit of doing things this way is that it preserves site filenames and structure, meaning that news archives that date back well more than a decade are all being preserved.

Timetable:

  • sansmirror — Complete, all 2235 pages. Now running completely on the new software. Missing links have been fixed or removed. A few remaining bits that should have been cleaned up earlier (e.g. sidebars you couldn’t see) are now gone. This site was my proof that the experiment with the new application worked, as the content is now all static (i.e., not updated). 
  • dslrbodies — Complete, all 1945 pages. I updated some styles, removed bad links, and any other issue I noticed. I even added a new News/Views article about the current state of buying new DSLR bodies and F-mount lenses. I should point out that I’ve got a lot of even older material (1999 to 2010) that I hope to eventually get re-added to this site, but obviously this has a low priority compared to my other projects in progress. My long-term goal is to make dslrbodies “complete,” at least in terms of my coverage of Nikon DSLRs.
  • byThom — Goal is to have this done by Thanksgiving. (bythom.com is now live with the new software; for once I’m ahead of schedule.) There’s a bit more going on with the bythom site, as new articles, rewritten articles, and some slight structure shuffling is involved. 
  • zsystemuser — Goal is to have this done by Christmas. This will be the most aggressive update, as there have been a lot of changes I’ve wanted to make to that site to make it more useful and to be more complete. 

I’m pretty sure I can hit those dates, and then I can kick off the new year with the new goodies I’ve been promising (and continue to create and refine in the background).

Be sure to let me know if you see any site anomalies on sansmirror or dslrbodies. Also, if you have any specific request for these four sites that I didn’t mention above, let me know, as now that I have my own application (NewBox), I might be able to change something on the fly.

Time’s Three Top Gadgets

Not that Time Magazine is a particularly good arbitrator of design and innovation, but it was interesting as to what they picked as their top Consumer Electronic gadgets this year. Of the 23 choices they made, three were cameras:

  • GoPro Mission 1 Pro ILS
  • Fujifilm Instax Mini EVO Cinema
  • Nikon ZR

Three very different cameras, all distinguished by the fact that what they are didn’t really exist prior (action camera with lens mount, Super8 meets instant film, and RED-level product in a small, affordable, more handholdable box with an industry-leading LCD). So Time is obviously rewarding previous unseen innovation over product incrementation.

Time does say something that (most in) the photography community hasn’t been saying: that we’re still seeing innovation in the dedicated camera market. The problem, as I’ve noted elsewhere, is that there have been so few new camera introductions recently that what’s really happening in the forum discussions and on social media is that people are really complaining that “Company X didn’t make what I wanted this year.” 

Given that many of the cameras are now on four-year update patterns, that means that in any given year the majority of camera owners are going to feel like their maker is not paying any attention to their particular needs. On the other hand, I don’t know of a four-year old camera that isn’t very capable, so it’s not that photographers are suffering from this iteration slowdown. 

Craft or Cruft?

For the last two weeks I’ve been barraged by people asking me to comment on the appearance of the ArtCraft clones of Adobe and Microsoft products. Whatever I have to say about them, though, will pale against the what both users and courts will eventually say about the clones. 

My first take is this: the (now) team behind this effort is sure good at storytelling and marketing. I’m also intrigued by the “Made by Artists, for Artists” tag line given that it really should read “Copied by AI, for AI users.” I’m not being coy with that switch: if you hit the Pricing link you find “Your subscription helps keep ArtCraft free and open for everyone.” Say what?

Given the scope of the project—copy all Adobe and Microsoft apps, with Autodesk next in the queue—putting ArtCraft all together took a pretty large up-front cash and time commitment. I’ve vibe coded with Claude for awhile now, and getting the big models to do this much work probably cost in the thousands of dollars a month, possibly far more if it was done agentically using API credits. Someone is going to have to pay that investment back, and it seems that ArtCraft has picked a near-same model for that as Adobe: subscriptions that come with AI use credits. 

Most of the questions I received have had to do with how legitimate the ArtCraft programs are. Well, note that they are all labeled either as “Early Alpha” or “In Development,” with no definition of what that means. Historically, Alpha means not feature complete, and In Development has no agreed upon meaning. Since ArtCraft is creating true clones of products, I also wonder how they’re doing that without breaking a license agreement they must have agreed to at some point. Section 17 of Adobe’s onerous license agreement uses the words “We…don’t allow you to recreate or attempt to recreate our products.” We don’t even have to go to Copyright law—which has a long history of dealing with software copies—to find the likely thing that Adobe’s lawyers are probably working up at the moment in order to stop ArtCraft. 

The back-story that keeps getting promoted about ArtCraft also seems disingenuous at best: “[Adobe] charged me the ‘cancellation fee’ on multiple occasions and I’ve hated them ever since.” Founder Brandon Thomas almost always emphasizes doing something for users, but doesn’t point out that such a large project will need money to keep going, and that will only occur via subscription. 

I was amused in playing with their In Development products to find that they aren’t just cloning UI, but they appear to be cloning bugs and limitations, too. In ArtCraft’s version of Microsoft Word, for instance, you’ll find the same 2GB file size limitation (due to use of 32-bit memory, not 64-bit found on modern CPUs), as well as one well-known, never fixed bug. Both those things were reasons why I moved from using Word for creating my books ;~).

While I might seem negative in my consideration here, there are some very positive bits to consider. The first is OS parity. Because these products are being developed in Rust (a language) that runs in almost any environment, suddenly we have a Lightroom look/work-alike that can run in Linux and even in a Web Browser tab. The other positive thing is that the apps are all OpenSource and available on ArtCraft’s GitHub to download and modify on your own. 

It’s instructive that the ArtCraft GitHub promotes a different “story” than what’s being discussed in the photography sites. Instead of cloning Adobe, there’s a clear identity statement: “ArtCraft is the IDE for interactive AI image and video creation.” IDE stands for Integrated Development Environment. If you go to app.getartcraft.com I believe you'll see what Thomas actually was trying to create. But if you’re going to create AI-generated images and videos, you also need something to edit and modify them. And you'll need AI subscriptions or a need to be running a local model yourself.

My biggest problem is that I don’t know that I can count on ArtCraft. Nothing quite seems finished, there are gaps (can’t read Nikon High Efficiency raw, for example), and there’s the legality problem that will only get addressed once Adobe and Microsoft decide how they’re going to handle this cloning. 

Meanwhile there’s an interesting dynamic going on in most of the emails I’ve been getting: the same people who would be enraged if someone (or AI) copied their images are essentially saying that they want to use something that’s a copy. In other words, their real complaint is about the money they pay Adobe. My response would be: if you’re not getting value back for the money you paid, sure, look for another solution, but are you sure you want to encourage copying?

I find my own stance on things being challenged some by ArtCraft. AI is definitely a tool that allows us to do things that we couldn’t do before (e.g. clone an existing program). However, there’s this persistent issue with AI use that keeps arising: AI model makers have been sucking up all human knowledge and patterns, ignoring intellectual property and ethical standards along the way, all in order to build a Goliath that can live among the other tech Goliaths. There’s money chasing money going on here, and I’m getting more than a little peeved at that as an all-encompassing life philosophy. I was never a fan of Venture Capital as a funding source and have watched that corrupt what were good ideas and potential products. 

I am a fan of building things that solve user problems and expand user knowledge. And yes, I charge for those things, otherwise I wouldn’t have the time to create them. But it’s not the pursuit of money that drives me, it’s doing what I’m doing better and better for more and more customers that really drives me. And that’s exactly where I can’t quite position ArtCraft yet. They claim to be trying to free the artist. But I don’t see how they do that long-term without money getting involved somehow, particularly once they have to hire lawyers to try to protect what they’ve already done. And once money starts talking…

My basic advice is this: try the ArtCraft (and other emerging clones) if you’d like. But I don’t think you can count on them. I wouldn’t, for instance, drop my Adobe subscription just because LightCraft seems to do much (or most) of what Lightroom does. There are real risks involved in doing that. Thing is, I saw Lightroom as a risk when it first appeared, too. That’s why I’ve kept my photos structured, stored, and backed up in the same heirarchical file system I first created in the 1990’s. If I lose access to a photo, it’s my fault, not some software program’s fault or that I’ve been locked out of modifying it because a subscription lapsed. 

Over my now 50-year course of dealing with ever-changing software, I learned one thing fairly early on: you need to control your data, not let someone else do it. You need to be diligent about moving data forward to new storage and sometimes file types. Programs that “help you” create and organize your data come and go. Some have tortoise-like lifespans (i.e. long), while some are fleeting butterflies (i.e. short-lived). 

As many of you know, I’ve been on the fence about continuing to recommend Lightroom (see Recommended Mac Software). Adobe created a solid product over time, but it’s now showing its age while the monthly tithe is annoying for what you get in terms of long-term value. It’s clear to me that AI is changing how people browse and find images, too, even outside Lightroom, so the whole catalog-develop approach may be nearing its end.

What I see is that we’re at another fork in the road. We’ve had several big forks in my 50 years on both sides of the software business. AI is creating another one. How that plays out is unclear at the moment. However, after each forking there’s been a small handful of Big Winners and a great number of Large Losers. 

———

Bonus coverage: Adobe and Microsoft are the two first targets of ArtCraft. Those are not identical targets. I’d argue that Microsoft has completely lost the way with Office. Features seem to go away at the same rate that toolbars get added. Performance sucks. The Officeness (as opposed to individual apps) never evolved. Word never made it to 64-bit memory. Microsoft Word 2.0, which was an early DOS product, had arguably better features and performance than the current version. Microsoft has consistently gone for lowest-common-denominator choices over making a better product. Frankly, they deserve to be cloned out of existence given their poor stewardship of their product.

I can’t really say the same for Adobe. While I don’t always agree with where they steer their ships and there have been some culdesacs they got themselves into (remember 3D in Photoshop?), Adobe seems to be quick to move to new technology (OS changes, AI, etc.), and has continually expanded (most of) their products in ways that a fair number of users find useful. I was worried when they went to subscriptions that they would get lazier about keeping their products current, but that hasn’t seemed to happen. 

Protecting Proprietary Platforms

An interview with Kazuto Yamaki of Sigma that appeared in LensVid raised an interesting point. I wonder how many people caught it.

"Sigma doesn’t use AI to design lenses, for now. Mr. Yamaki said the knowledge required to make a high-quality lens is not available publicly; it is proprietary and kept inside the company…” 

As I’ve written a number of times, AI as being practiced at the moment is backwards looking, and the big AI companies have been scraping pretty much any information they can find anywhere. Public data, even Copyrighted or otherwise protected data (e.g. license agreements) is considered fair game to the Silicon Valley AI Vacuums. 

What Yamaki-san is referring to here is a fear that if they used one of the existing large language models to help with optical designs, in so doing they’d also expose the designs that they’ve been doing and probably the reasons for their decisions, too. But I don’t understand why they haven’t RAGed their own data in a private model (RAG = Retrieval-augmented generation). We’re about to discover who the truly tech-savvy companies are and which ones are meandering around just trying to make sense of technology changes.

There’s nothing stopping an organization from running their own local AI that is trained on their own proprietary data, and trained in a way that doesn’t get communicated back to the Silicon Valley Overlords. We’re going to see companies that get this (Apple is one), and companies that don’t (the Sigma comment would indicate that they currently don’t). 

So the question that comes up here is this: what would having a RAGed local AI do for Sigma? Well, it would help their designers dealing with optical issues. How? Such a system would have memory of how certain problems were tackled in the past and what the tradeoffs and outcomes were. In other words, institutional knowledge that is passed down to new designers, but more quickly and precisely. 

I should point out that one reason why I can answer a lot of Nikon questions quickly via email is that I have begun RAGing much of my 40 years of writing about Nikon in a way so that I don’t always have to pull it out of my aging brain neuron by neuron. The local AI tends to confabulate a bit less often than my wetware does. 

Which brings me to a slightly off-topic point. Mainstream media has been writing a lot lately about how OpenAI is harming the established math world by solving (or attempting to solve, the results are still a bit unclear) as many of the outstanding math questions as possible. The media seems to think the AI engine in question, ChatGPT, did those proofs all on its own. Nope. AI is directed. By someone. At something. It’s unclear why OpenAI felt that they needed to tackle outstanding math proofs, though it was probably about generating bragging rights for their reasoning engine. The implication would be that if their model can solve things that haven’t been solved to date, then their AI must be better than any other at structuring conclusions from existing data. 

But that’s exactly the reason why a savvy tech company would be developing their own internal AI, whether by RAG or by directed training. There are unsolved optical problems, just like there are unsolved problems everywhere you look. So getting back to why I’m covering this one comment: if you don’t use all the tools available to you to move your knowledge base forward, what happens when one of your competitors does? 

That’s actually the real danger of AI at the moment: who’s directing it at what? I’ve found the currently available AI—even the LLM that I run on the Mac I’m typing this on—to be an accelerant to what I know and what I’m doing. Almost too much of an accelerant, as I’ve now started way more projects than usual, which is slowing down some of my usual output (e.g. lens reviews; sorry, I’ll fix that in the not too distant future). But it’s also accelerating my knowledge of the things I write about. For instance, I was curious about something that seemed strange to me about a recent camera, so my AI and I set out to test the USB communications between camera and devices. After several different pokes, I found what was causing my initial curiosity: the engineers on that project made a mistake. Actually two that I can find, and both involve PTP (Picture Transfer Protocol, a defined standard). It’s actually the intersection between USB Power Delivery and PTP that this camera fumbles, as it prioritizes USB PD over PTP, when it should probably be the other way around (as most devices do). 

That little AI sleuthing allowed me to answer a user question I previously didn’t know the answer to (why the camera worked properly with a computer but not an iPad). The answer: the computer was supplying more power than the iPad, so USB PD and PTP could both run. On the iPad the camera’s USB PD asked for more power than could be delivered, so the PTP request was terminated when the PD shut down. 

Okay, I’ve rambled on enough about a tangential subject. But it does touch the boundary of this site’s topics, and Tokyo needs to careful here. The Chinese are, at least at the moment, not taking the same proprietary approach as they try to advance. What I’m seeing there is a lot of sharing of knowledge as they progress in optics. Propreitary only works as long as it stays ahead of the non-proprietary advancement. 

Tokyo Looks the Wrong Direction

The camera makers weren’t ready for smartphones (again). 

That’s right, the smart folk in Tokyo have once again not been ready for something that was extremely predictable in the phone market. What did they miss this time? The inevitable sales plateau for phones, particularly given the cost increases for the latest models as the smartphone makers try to cram several kitchen sinks into their camera slabs.

Depending upon whose surveys you believe, smartphone unit volume is anywhere from flat (0% growth) to 7% growth over the last two years. Smartphones have reached the top of the growth sigmoid. Many makers now are seeing flat or even declining unit volumes. Moreover, when you couple that with another bit, you'll see where the camera makers weren’t ready to exploit this.

Think about smartphones for a moment. They work incredibly well as a phone. Designs for the last five years using 4G or 5G communications are way more than adequate for virtually everything smartphones do except for two things: photos and AI. You wouldn’t need a new phone unless you broke yours if all you’re doing is phoning, interneting, and entertaining yourself with streams from afar. Yet virtually every smartphone maker is dropping full new product lines of phones every 12 months still. And what is being updated that justifies you paying US$2000+ for a new phone? Better camera, more AI capabilities. 

But as the smartphone makers update their camera systems, they’re adding higher cost components: bigger image sensors, more image sensors, advanced lenses (IS, apertures, periscope telephoto, etc.). And the bill of materials costs for that keep going up, so, in turn the smartphones are pricing themselves out of having people upgrade every year. It’s a classic Silicon Valley attempt “to make a wave on the sigmoid plateau” to keep growing. I was looking at one estimated bill of materials for the iPhone 17 recently, and the camera component costs were responsible for about 25% of the retail price (and 20% of Apple’s actual component costs). Those percentages will be lower for the iPhone 18, as CPU and memory costs have skyrocketed as Apple tries to embue more space and speed for AI into the latest units, but still, look at how much the smartphone companies are touting that the camera portion of the phone is one of the key reasons why you should upgrade to a new one. “Hey, we have apertures now…” 

I’m pretty sure that the camera makers could make a dedicated camera that beats the smartphone photo capabilities and sell the result for under US$1000. User problem solved: they want a better camera but don’t want to pay for a new US$2000 phone every year to get that. Buying a US$800 camera would save people money while giving them better results and more control. Their phones would still work fine for everything else. (Yes, I’m being loose with the numbers here, but I’m trying to illustrate the overall point, so I need to generalize some.)

So where are those <US$1000 dedicated cameras that would allow smartphone users to keep their current phone instead of paying US$2000 a year to get a camera upgrade? Oh, and how would those missing dedicated cameras communicate better with the phone so that they didn’t cripple the social media use these people want? Tokyo doesn’t know. They’re so gun shy right now that they’re chasing small niches they think might keep them afloat. 

It’s almost as if the camera makers want to be bit players now. I don’t see the future in that. But then again, Sony just introduced a US$6000 Walkman, so maybe that’s the future of cameras: low volume but gold plated.


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