Right Advice, Wrong Execution

In a recent interview in Japan OMDS chief Setsuya Kataoka has been quoted as follows:

To be honest, shortly after we started m4/3, I briefly considered expanding into full-frame or APS-C as a future option.

However, then another manager told him:

Before thinking about what happens with other formats, have you truly pushed m4/3 to its absolute limits? Only after you’ve thoroughly explored and exhausted every possibility might that make sense. 

That was absolute spot on advice.

The problem for Olympus (now OMDS) was in the execution. And the first camera I’ll point out—again, this isn’t the first time I’ve mentioned this—is the Olympus Tough. Why we don’t have an OM Tough-7 at this point that uses an m4/3 image sensor is beyond me. That one change, alone—though I’d advocate for a few more—would make it not only unique, but desirable small compact camera.

The second camera I’ll point to is the OM-D E-M1X, which violated the premise behind m4/3 sensors (produces smaller, lighter, but capable cameras). I’d guess that because this required body and other changes that it delayed other models that would have resonated better.

When you consider a “product line,” the first question you have to ask is where does the line begin and end, and why? The second is what would constitute a full lineup with differentiation? 

That last point is also a problem OMDS has: I’m a bit unclear about the differentiation at this point. The OM-1 and OM-5 are somewhat differentiated (as would be an OM-10 if they got round to it). Not so sure about the OM-3. 

With camera volume being what it is (declining in all but compacts at the moment), it’s more important than ever to have a well-thought out product line, and I’d add that now you should also be asking “what’s the minimum number of models that maximize volume?” 

While I’ve singled out OMDS here—it was their quote that triggered the article, after all—there isn’t a single camera maker that seems to have a rationalized product line strategy, though Nikon full frame (FX) is a reasonably good example of clear thinking. 

One thing the camera companies seem to get hung up on is the zero sum game thing: a potential new buyer is only going to buy one, so do we have “the one”? And the established prosumer only has one question: did you make my model better or give me a reason to move up a model? 

What that type of thinking does to engineering is this:

  1. Iterate all models. The “plod along” option.
  2. Poke at new ideas and see what sticks. The “spaghetti-at-wall” option.
Worse still, the camera makers think they know what to do about #1, and don’t bother talking much with their customers about what might really make a difference. And #2 seems pretty random to me. When the marketing campaign for one of those new pokes hits, I can’t see the user justification most of the time. It’s just new and different and fingers are kept crossed in Tokyo. 

I believe the Japanese camera companies need to make a decision. Either they believe that growth in the camera market is possible and they develop a rationalized, clear, urgent process to develop the models needed, or it’s time to back off the 10+ camera product lines and find the handful of keepers that will keep them profitably in the iteration game. The middle ground is insane, as it becomes just a random walk that is not efficient and leads to many dead ends and possibly full death. 

I outlined the way I would have proceeded way back in 2007: CPM. That stands for communicating, programmable, modular. That’s also the order of importance. Right now cameras are terrible at communicating with the rest of the world around them. That needs fixing. AI is now upon us, and it makes user programming absolutely possible (maybe even easy if the base device supports it correctly). Modularity—particularly being able to replace the sensor/digital board—provides iteration and upgrade paths. 

I see that the Chinese are experimenting, and doing better at, all three of those things. Those gimbal cameras such as the DJI Pocket are a perfect example of where modularity could come into play: replace the lens/sensor bit on the top and you’ve got a different camera (e.g. wide angle, zoom, or telephoto). Sure, the gimbal intelligence needs to adjust for the different size/weight parameters of a “new head,” but that should be a simple firmware update. 
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